:Product: 19980708RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jul 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 189 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 JUL 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C1
X-RAY FLARE OCCURRED AT 08/1055UT. THE DISK HAS FOUR NUMBERED
SPOTTED REGIONS WHICH HAVE REMAINED QUIET THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY STILL EXISTS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTECD TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 JUL-11 JUL
CLASS M    10/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 JUL 112
PREDICTED   09 JUL-11 JUL  111/110/108
90 DAY MEAN        08 JUL 108
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUL  005/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUL  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUL-11 JUL  005/005-005/008-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 JUL-11 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/30
MINOR STORM           10/10/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05