:Product: 19980730RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jul 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 211 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 30 JUL 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  29/2100Z
TO 30/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY A FEW B-CLASS X-RAY
FLARES OCCURRED, NONE OF WHICH HAD CORRESPONDING OPTICAL FLARE
REPORTS. REGIONS 8280 (S22W41) AND 8282 (N31W34) REMAIN THE MOST
COMPLEX SUNSPOT GROUPS ON THE VISIBLE DISK. BOTH REGIONS ARE
DECAYING SLOWLY. NEW REGION 8288 (S26E61) WAS NUMBERED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. FLARES ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS 8280 AND 8282.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 29/2100Z TO 30/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 31 JUL-02 AUG
CLASS M    15/15/15
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           30 JUL 115
PREDICTED   31 JUL-02 AUG  112/110/108
90 DAY MEAN        30 JUL 110
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 JUL  008/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JUL  006/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 JUL-02 AUG  010/010-010/010-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 31 JUL-02 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01