:Product: 19980803RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Aug 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 215 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 03 AUG 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  02/2100Z
TO 03/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO SIGNIFICANT FLARES
OCCURRED. NEW REGION 8295 (N13E01), A SMALL B-TYPE GROUP, WAS
NUMBERED TODAY. OF THE SEVEN ACTIVE REGIONS CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE
DISK, REGION 8293 (S20E60) IS THE MOST SIGNIFICANT AS A 7-SPOT 'FSO'
BETA GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 04 AUG-06 AUG
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           03 AUG 109
PREDICTED   04 AUG-06 AUG  108/106/106
90 DAY MEAN        03 AUG 110
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 AUG  007/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 AUG  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 AUG-06 AUG  005/010-005/010-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 04 AUG-06 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01