:Product: 19981029RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Oct 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 302 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 29 OCT 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  28/2100Z
TO 29/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW.  ONE C-CLASS FLARE OCCURRED.
SEVERAL NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY.  REGION 8369 (N19E05) WAS
SPLIT INTO TWO SEPARATE REGIONS.  THE EASTERN PART IS NEW REGION
8372 (N21E17).  OTHER NEW NUMBERED REGIONS ARE:  REGION 8373
(S24E57),  REGION 8374 (S18E67),  AND REGION 8375 (N18E71).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 28/2100Z TO 29/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.  THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WENT FROM MODERATE TO HIGH RANGE.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 30 OCT-01 NOV
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           29 OCT 110
PREDICTED   30 OCT-01 NOV  115/115/120
90 DAY MEAN        29 OCT 131
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 OCT  008/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 OCT  005/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 OCT-01 NOV  005/010-010/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 30 OCT-01 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/25/25
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01