:Product: 19981030RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Oct 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 303 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 30 OCT 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  29/2100Z
TO 30/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ALL SIX SPOTTED REGIONS
WERE STABLE AND UNPRODUCTIVE. REGION 8375 (N17E58) IS THE LARGEST IN
WHITE LIGHT AND H-ALPHA.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 29/2100Z TO 30/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 31 OCT-02 NOV
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           30 OCT 112
PREDICTED   31 OCT-02 NOV  115/115/120
90 DAY MEAN        30 OCT 131
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 OCT  008/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 OCT  007/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 OCT-02 NOV  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 31 OCT-02 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01