:Product: 19981101RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Nov 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 305 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 NOV 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  31/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SINGLE C1 X-RAY EVENT
OCCURRED AT 01/0246Z. IT WAS NOT OPTICALLY CORRELATED HOWEVER IMAGE
DATA FROM LASCO/EIT SUGGEST REGION 8375 (N17E32) MAY HAVE BEEN
RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS EVENT.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 31/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. ENERGETIC ELECTRONS AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 NOV-04 NOV
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 NOV 121
PREDICTED   02 NOV-04 NOV  125/125/130
90 DAY MEAN        01 NOV 131
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 OCT  004/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 NOV  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 NOV-04 NOV  005/008-010/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 NOV-04 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           01/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01