:Product: 19981119RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Nov 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 323 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 19 NOV 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  18/2100Z
TO 19/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
REGION 8384 (S16W66) WAS QUIET AND STABLE. REGION 8391 (S16E48) WAS
MORE CLEARLY VISIBLE TODAY AS A C-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP BUT WAS ALSO
VERY STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 18/2100Z TO 19/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  GEOAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO
BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 20 NOV-22 NOV
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           19 NOV 117
PREDICTED   20 NOV-22 NOV  115/110/110
90 DAY MEAN        19 NOV 128
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 NOV  005/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 NOV  010/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 NOV-22 NOV  010/015-010/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 20 NOV-22 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05