:Product: 19990110RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1999 Jan 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 010 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 10 JAN 1999
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  09/2100Z
TO 10/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8431 (S28W07) PRODUCED
THE ONLY FLARE REPORTED DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, A C1/SF AT
10/0259UT. ALL ACTIVE REGIONS CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK ARE
SMALL AND RELATIVELY SIMPLE. NEW REGION 8437 (N11E68) WAS NUMBERED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 09/2100Z TO 10/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 11 JAN-13 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           10 JAN 110
PREDICTED   11 JAN-13 JAN  110/110/115
90 DAY MEAN        10 JAN 138
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 JAN  009/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JAN  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JAN-13 JAN  010/008-010/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 11 JAN-13 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01