:Product: 19990322RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1999 Mar 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 081 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 MAR 1999
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED
C1 X-RAY FLARE AT 22/0152UT. NO OPTICAL FLARES WERE REPORTED. ALL
DISK REGIONS ARE SMALL AND SIMPLE. NEW REGION 8497 (N30E60) ROTATED
AROUND THE EAST LIMB.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 MAR-25 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 MAR 116
PREDICTED   23 MAR-25 MAR  110/110/110
90 DAY MEAN        22 MAR 142
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 MAR  006/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 MAR  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 MAR-25 MAR  005/008-005/012-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 MAR-25 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/20
MINOR STORM           01/01/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/20
MINOR STORM           01/01/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05