:Product: 19990614RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1999 Jun 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 165 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 14 JUN 1999
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  13/2100Z
TO 14/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THERE WERE TWO SMALL C-CLASS
EVENTS DURING THE PERIOD. A WEAK TYPE II SWEEP WITH A SF FLARE FROM
REGION 8578 (N21W73) OCCURRED AT 13/2345Z.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS EVENTS WITH AN ISOLATED M-CLASS ARE POSSIBLE
FROM SEVERAL REGIONS ON THE SOLAR DISK.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 13/2100Z TO 14/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 15 JUN-17 JUN
CLASS M    40/40/40
CLASS X    05/05/05
PROTON     05/05/05
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           14 JUN 168
PREDICTED   15 JUN-17 JUN  165/160/160
90 DAY MEAN        14 JUN 136
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JUN  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUN  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUN-17 JUN  005/005-005/010-005/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 15 JUN-17 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/25/25
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01