:Product: 19990924RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1999 Sep 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 267 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 24 SEP 1999
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  23/2100Z
TO 24/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONE NEW REGION, 8709
(S15E48) WAS ASSIGNED. THE DISK AND LIMBS WERE QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 23/2100Z TO 24/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 25 SEP-27 SEP
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           24 SEP 132
PREDICTED   25 SEP-27 SEP  130/125/120
90 DAY MEAN        24 SEP 162
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 SEP  020/024
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 SEP  005/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 SEP-27 SEP  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 25 SEP-27 SEP
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01