:Product: 19991130RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1999 Nov 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 334 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 30 NOV 1999
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  29/2100Z
TO 30/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8782 (N11W41) WAS THE
MOST ACTIVE AREA AND PRODUCED SEVERAL LOW-LEVEL C-CLASS FLARES.
SMALL FLARES ALSO OCCURRED IN REGION 8778 (S14W62). REGION 8782
CONTINUES TO GROW  AND REGION 8778 IS SLOWLY DECAYING. NEW REGIONS
8783 (S16W43) AND 8784 (N30E32) EMERGED ON THE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS 8778, 8781, AND 8782.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 29/2100Z TO 30/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 01 DEC-03 DEC
CLASS M    40/30/30
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           30 NOV 163
PREDICTED   01 DEC-03 DEC  160/155/155
90 DAY MEAN        30 NOV 164
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 NOV  002/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 NOV  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 DEC-03 DEC  008/008-008/005-008/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 01 DEC-03 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05