:Product: 20000328RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2000 Mar 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 088 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 28 MAR 2000
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  27/2100Z
TO 28/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE.  REGION 8926 (S10W84)
PRODUCED AN M3/SF X-RAY EVENT AT 28/0137Z.  SEVERAL OTHER MINOR
C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED FROM REGION 8926 AND 8924 (N10W01).  WHILE
REGION 8926 NEARS THE WEST LIMB, REGIONS 8921 (S17W30), 8924, AND
8933 (N16E20) ALL DISPLAYED SLIGHT GROWTH DURING THE PERIOD.  NO NEW
REGIONS WERE NUMBERED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE WITH A CHANCE OF ISOLATED M-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 27/2100Z TO 28/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 29 MAR-31 MAR
CLASS M    35/30/30
CLASS X    10/05/05
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           28 MAR 201
PREDICTED   29 MAR-31 MAR  195/190/190
90 DAY MEAN        28 MAR 177
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 MAR  003/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 MAR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 MAR-31 MAR  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 29 MAR-31 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/25/25
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01