:Product: 20010109RSGA.txt :Issued: 2001 Jan 09 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 009 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jan 2001 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was moderate due to a single M1/1N event that occurred at 09/0650 UTC, from Region 9306 (N11E43). Other than the M-class event noted, only occasional C-class events occurred during the period. One new region was numbered, 9307 (S13W59). IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to persist at the low level. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet throughout the interval. III. Event Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan Class M 20/20/20 Class X 05/05/05 Proton 05/05/05 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 09 Jan 166 Predicted 10 Jan-12 Jan 175/180/185 90 Day Mean 09 Jan 174 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jan 008/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jan 005/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jan-12 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/007 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor storm 10/10/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor storm 10/10/10 Major-severe storm 05/05/05