:Product: 20010301RSGA.txt :Issued: 2001 Mar 01 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 060 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Mar 2001 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity has been low. Region 9364 (S10W30) produced a C1/sf at 01/1822 UTC. A 9 degree filament (S30E40) disappeared between 28/1734 UTC and 01/1113 UTC. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low to low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to active conditions are possible on the second and third day of the forecast as a result of the CME observed on 28 February. III. Event Probabilities 02 Mar-04 Mar Class M 10/10/10 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Mar 131 Predicted 02 Mar-04 Mar 135/140/145 90 Day Mean 01 Mar 162 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 28 Feb 006/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Mar 008/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 005/005-015/012-010/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Mar-04 Mar A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/30/20 Minor storm 05/10/05 Major-severe storm 01/05/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/40/25 Minor storm 05/20/10 Major-severe storm 01/05/01