:Product: 20010704RSGA.txt :Issued: 2001 Jul 04 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2001 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Only one optically uncorrelated B-class x-ray flare occurred during the period. All regions on the visible disk remain small and magnetically simple. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days. III. Event Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul Class M 10/10/10 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 04 Jul 127 Predicted 05 Jul-07 Jul 130/130/135 90 Day Mean 04 Jul 162 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul 005/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul 010/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 008/010-008/008-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 25/20/20 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01