:Product: 20010705RSGA.txt :Issued: 2001 Jul 05 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 186 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2001 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. A 14 degree filament disappeared at S53E20 between 04/1949 UTC and 05/1057 UTC. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. III. Event Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul Class M 10/10/10 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 05 Jul 120 Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 115/115/120 90 Day Mean 05 Jul 161 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 006/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 010/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 008/010-008/008-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 25/20/20 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01