:Product: 20010706RSGA.txt :Issued: 2001 Jul 06 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jul 2001 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. A 9 degree filament disappeared at N34W01 between 05/1800 UTC and 06/1120 UTC. A new region was numbered today as Region 9530 (S19W25). IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days. III. Event Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul Class M 10/10/20 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 06 Jul 116 Predicted 07 Jul-09 Jul 115/120/125 90 Day Mean 06 Jul 160 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jul 010/013 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jul 008/009 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul 008/008-008/008-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01