:Product: 20010707RSGA.txt :Issued: 2001 Jul 07 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 188 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jul 2001 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 9530 (S19W38) produced a C9/Sf flare at 07/0331 UTC with an associated Type II radio sweep (shock velocity 440 km/sec). IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days. III. Event Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul Class M 10/15/20 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 07 Jul 118 Predicted 08 Jul-10 Jul 120/125/130 90 Day Mean 07 Jul 160 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jul 007/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jul 008/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul 008/008-008/008-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01