:Product: 20010712RSGA.txt :Issued: 2001 Jul 12 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 193 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jul 2001 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The largest event during the period was an optically uncorrelated B9.7 flare at 12/0255 UTC. One new region was numbered: 9539 (S19E26). IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low to low levels. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to continue to be at quiet to unsettled levels. III. Event Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul Class M 15/15/15 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 12 Jul 134 Predicted 13 Jul-15 Jul 135/140/140 90 Day Mean 12 Jul 158 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jul 005/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jul 007/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul 008/010-008/010-008/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01