:Product: 20040610RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2004 Jun 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jun 2004
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  Region 622 (S11W72)
developed into a 4 spot group with a Beta magnetic classification,
but continues to have minimal potential for flare activity.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to usettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels through 13 June. 
There is a slight chance for an isolated period of active levels on
11 June due to a possible solar sector boundary crossing.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Jun-13 Jun
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Jun 083
Predicted   11 Jun-13 Jun  085/085/085
90 Day Mean        10 Jun 103
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jun  013/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jun  008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun  012/012-010/010-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jun-13 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                30/30/25
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                35/30/25
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01