:Product: 20040611RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2004 Jun 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2004
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels for 12 June through
14 June.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Jun 084
Predicted   12 Jun-14 Jun  085/085/085
90 Day Mean        11 Jun 102
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jun  014/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jun  008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun  010/010-008/008-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/25/30
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01