:Product: 20040702RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2004 Jul 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2004
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. There are only two small,
simple sunspot groups currently on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a small chance of a C-class flare in Region 640
(S09E02). GOES SXI data suggests that a new active region just
behind the east limb at NE10 may rotate onto the disk within 24
hours.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jul 081
Predicted   03 Jul-05 Jul  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        02 Jul 099
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul  009/013
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul  010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  010/010-008/008-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/30/30
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/05