:Product: 20040708RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2004 Jul 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2004
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  Several B-class
flares were observed in the last 24 hours.  Region 642 (S07E51)
produced the majority of the activity.  The largest flare from this
region was a B7/Sf at 08/0017 UTC.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
Class M    01/01/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Jul 082
Predicted   09 Jul-11 Jul  085/090/100
90 Day Mean        08 Jul 097
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul  002/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul  002/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul  005/008-005/008-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05