:Product: 20040802RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2004 Aug 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 215 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Aug 2004
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low to low levels. 
There was an isolated C3.9 X-ray event on 02 Aug at 1754Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through 05 Aug.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       yellow
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Aug 085
Predicted   03 Aug-05 Aug  085/085/090
90 Day Mean        02 Aug 105
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Aug  009/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Aug  009/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug  008/008-005/008-004/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01