:Product: 20040806RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2004 Aug 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2004
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  Two new regions were
numbered today as Region 656 (S12E69) and 657 (N10E82).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated periods of
active conditions possible.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Aug 091
Predicted   07 Aug-09 Aug  095/095/100
90 Day Mean        06 Aug 105
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug  005/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug  005/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug  010/015-010/015-010/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05