:Product: 20040928RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2004 Sep 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 272 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Sep 2004
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z:  Solar Activity was very low.  Only one B-class event
occurred in the past 24 hours.  Region 673 (S13W90+) rotated around
the West limb.  New Region 676 (S11E78) was numbered and appears to
be a simple H type spot.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           28 Sep 090
Predicted   29 Sep-01 Oct  095/095/100
90 Day Mean        28 Sep 111
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Sep  002/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Sep  005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Sep-01 Oct  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/30/30
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05