:Product: 20050330RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2005 Mar 30 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 089 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2005
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels today.  Region
745 (N12W68) continues to show signs of decay.  There is a single
AXX alpha spot remaining visible in white light.  No significant
activity was observed on the disk or limbs during the period.  No
new regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
Active conditions were observed following a sustained southward Bz
between 30/0600 and 0900Z.  The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.  Isolated active to
minor storm conditions are possible on 2 April due to the onset of a
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Mar 078
Predicted   31 Mar-02 Apr  080/080/085
90 Day Mean        30 Mar 097
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar  003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Mar  008/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr  005/005-008/008-015/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/20/30
Minor storm           01/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/30
Minor storm           01/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/05