:Product: 0722RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2005 Jul 22 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 203 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jul 2005
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No significant activity
was observed during the period.  No new regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind speed
remains elevated at approximately 580 km/s.  The greater than 2 MeV
electrons at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 23 July as the
coronal hole high speed stream wanes.  Predominantly quiet
conditions are expected on 24 and 25 July.
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Jul 074
Predicted   23 Jul-25 Jul  075/080/085
90 Day Mean        22 Jul 097
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jul  019/029
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jul  009/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul  008/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/20/20
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01