:Product: 0811RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2005 Aug 11 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 223 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Aug 2005
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  A new region was numbered
today as Region 797 (S13E55).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Aug-14 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Aug 076
Predicted   12 Aug-14 Aug  075/075/070
90 Day Mean        11 Aug 094
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Aug  009/022
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Aug  006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Aug-14 Aug  008/008-010/015-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Aug-14 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/20/20
Minor storm           05/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/30/25
Minor storm           10/15/10
Major-severe storm    01/05/05