:Product: 0930RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2005 Sep 30 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 273 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Sep 2005
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 812 (S03W20) was
quiescent.  No new regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  Solar wind speed has
increased steadily during the day from about 360 km/s to about 420
km/s.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Oct-03 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Sep 072
Predicted   01 Oct-03 Oct  070/070/075
90 Day Mean        30 Sep 092
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Sep  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Sep  007/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Oct-03 Oct  008/015-008/012-005/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Oct-03 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/25/20
Minor storm           20/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/05