:Product: 1001RSGA.txt :Issued: 2005 Oct 01 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 274 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Oct 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 812 (S03W33) is now an H-alpha plage without spots. No new regions were numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. III. Event Probabilities 02 Oct-04 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Oct 072 Predicted 02 Oct-04 Oct 070/075/080 90 Day Mean 01 Oct 091 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 30 Sep 006/011 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Oct 008/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Oct-04 Oct 008/010-005/010-005/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Oct-04 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/15/15 Minor storm 10/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor storm 15/15/15 Major-severe storm 05/05/05