:Product: 1108RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2005 Nov 08 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2005
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 09 and 10 November. On 11
November, a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to
move into geoeffective position causing unsettled to active
conditions with minor storm periods possible.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
Class M    05/05/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Nov 079
Predicted   09 Nov-11 Nov  080/080/075
90 Day Mean        08 Nov 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov  005/008-008/010-012/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/20/25
Minor storm           05/10/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/35
Minor storm           10/10/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/10