:Product: 1206RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2005 Dec 06 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 340 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Dec 2005
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are
possible on 07 December.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
Class M    10/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Dec 089
Predicted   07 Dec-09 Dec  090/090/085
90 Day Mean        06 Dec 086
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Dec  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Dec  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec  008/010-005/005-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/20
Minor storm           10/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01