:Product: 1207RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2005 Dec 07 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 341 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Dec 2005
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 830 (N13E10)
produced the only flare of the past day, a B5/Sf at 07/1852 UTC. All
regions currently on the disk are small and simple.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. A small C-class flare is possible in Region 826 (S05W69)
or 830 (N13E10).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Dec 089
Predicted   08 Dec-10 Dec  085/085/080
90 Day Mean        07 Dec 086
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Dec  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Dec  002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01