:Product: 0102RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jan 02 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 002 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jan 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 838 (N16, L=324)
produced a long duration C1 flare on the Northwest limb at 01/2216
UTC.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Jan-05 Jan
Class M    05/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jan 085
Predicted   03 Jan-05 Jan  085/085/090
90 Day Mean        02 Jan 085
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jan  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan  003/003-003/003-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jan-05 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01