:Product: 0103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jan 03 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 003 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jan 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The three spotted regions
were stable or declining. Little of significance occurred.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to persist
at very low levels for the next three days.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at GOES was high.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet throughout the period.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Jan 085
Predicted   04 Jan-06 Jan  085/090/090
90 Day Mean        03 Jan 085
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jan  005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jan  003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan  005/003-005/003-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05