:Product: 0106RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jan 06 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 006 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jan 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. New Region 845 (N18E72)
emerged on the east limb as a Cao Beta group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Jan-09 Jan
Class M    05/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Jan 082
Predicted   07 Jan-09 Jan  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        06 Jan 085
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jan  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jan  006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan  005/008-005/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jan-09 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01