:Product: 0126RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jan 26 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 026 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jan 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-flare from Region 848 (S20W66).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to major storm levels. An isolated
major storm period was observed between 26/1500 UTC and 26/1800 UTC.
The heightened activity was due to the influence of a high speed
coronal hole stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled with Isolated active
periods possible on 27 January. On 28 and 29 January, quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected.
III.  Event Probabilities 27 Jan-29 Jan
Class M    05/05/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           26 Jan 087
Predicted   27 Jan-29 Jan  085/085/080
90 Day Mean        26 Jan 087
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jan  008/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jan  012/023
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jan-29 Jan  008/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jan-29 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/15
Minor storm           15/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01