:Product: 0206RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Feb 06 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 037 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Feb 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  An active period occurred
from 0300-0600 UTC.  The source of the elevated activity appears to
be a sector boundary crossing.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (07-09 February).
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Feb-09 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Feb 075
Predicted   07 Feb-09 Feb  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        06 Feb 087
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Feb  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Feb  010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Feb-09 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01