:Product: 0208RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Feb 08 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 039 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Feb 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Newly numbered Region 852
(S10W04) produced a B3 flare at 1633Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (09-11
February).
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Feb 074
Predicted   09 Feb-11 Feb  075/075/080
90 Day Mean        08 Feb 087
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Feb  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Feb  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01