:Product: 0213RSGA.txt :Issued: 2006 Feb 13 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 044 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Feb 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet. III. Event Probabilities 14 Feb-16 Feb Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 13 Feb 076 Predicted 14 Feb-16 Feb 075/075/080 90 Day Mean 13 Feb 086 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 12 Feb 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Feb 001/002 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Feb-16 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Feb-16 Feb A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor storm 10/10/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/01