:Product: 0223RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Feb 23 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 054 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Feb 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the possibility of an
isolated active period on 24 and 25 February. On 26 February, quiet
to unsettled conditions are expected.
III.  Event Probabilities 24 Feb-26 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Feb 075
Predicted   24 Feb-26 Feb  075/075/080
90 Day Mean        23 Feb 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Feb  011/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Feb  008/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Feb-26 Feb  008/015-008/015-005/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Feb-26 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/20
Minor storm           15/15/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/01