:Product: 0224RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Feb 24 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 055 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Feb 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
continues to remain spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with an isolated
active period between 24/1200 to 24/1500 UTC at several
observatories. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with an isolated active period
possible on 25 February. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected
on 26 and 27 February.
III.  Event Probabilities 25 Feb-27 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           24 Feb 076
Predicted   25 Feb-27 Feb  075/080/080
90 Day Mean        24 Feb 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Feb  004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Feb  008/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb  005/012-005/005-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Feb-27 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/20
Minor storm           10/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01