:Product: 0225RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Feb 25 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 056 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Feb 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remains spotless; however, SXI imagery shows a brightening on the
east limb at approximately S09. This region was responsible for
isolated low level B-class activity. This is likely the return of
Region 853 (S09, L=120).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with a chance for an isolated C-flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet. Quiet to unsettled conditions are
expected on 28 February.
III.  Event Probabilities 26 Feb-28 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           25 Feb 076
Predicted   26 Feb-28 Feb  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        25 Feb 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Feb  004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Feb  002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Feb-28 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/20
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01