:Product: 0227RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Feb 27 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 058 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Feb 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  A new region was
numbered today as Region 856 (S08E69).  This region has been the
source of several low level B-class flares in the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.  Periods of unsettled conditions on 28
February are possible due to coronal hole affects.
III.  Event Probabilities 28 Feb-02 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           27 Feb 077
Predicted   28 Feb-02 Mar  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        27 Feb 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Feb  003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Feb  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Feb-02 Mar  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Feb-02 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01