:Product: 0304RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Mar 04 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 063 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Mar 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. A small, 5-degree filament
near S21E10 disappeared sometime between 1525Z and 1757Z. A few
small spots have re-emerged in Region 856 (S10E01).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next 24 hours (05 March).
Conditions should be predominantly quiet for 06-07 March.
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Mar 075
Predicted   05 Mar-07 Mar  077/077/077
90 Day Mean        04 Mar 083
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar  010/012-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/20
Minor storm           15/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/20/20
Minor storm           20/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/01/01