:Product: 0311RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Mar 11 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 070 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Mar 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 856 (S09W89)
produced a long-duration B-class flare at 11/1400Z.  No evidence of
an associated CME was observed; however,  LASCO imagery was not
available at the time of issue.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  Active conditions
followed the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods on 12 March.  Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for
13-14 March.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Mar 074
Predicted   12 Mar-14 Mar  072/072/072
90 Day Mean        11 Mar 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Mar  009/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Mar  012/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/10/20
Minor storm           10/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01