:Product: 0313RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Mar 13 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 072 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Mar 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
over the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods on 14-15 March due to a recurring coronal hole. 
Quiet conditions are expected on 16 March.
III.  Event Probabilities 14 Mar-16 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Mar 073
Predicted   14 Mar-16 Mar  073/075/075
90 Day Mean        13 Mar 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Mar  003/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Mar  002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar  008/015-005/010-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Mar-16 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/20/15
Minor storm           15/10/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01