:Product: 0314RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Mar 14 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 073 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity continues at very low levels. Several
low B-class flares were observed from newly numbered Region 860
(S03E50). New Region 859 (S07W79) was also numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. Occasional B-class flares are expected from
Region 860.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Mar 074
Predicted   15 Mar-17 Mar  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        14 Mar 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar  003/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01